MLB 4/7/21 Preview
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There are 15 games around the diamond in MLB Wednesday, so there’s plenty of action at Tipico Sportsbook. Below you’ll see my favorite picks for this slate using the odds from Tipico. Make sure you download their app for the latest odds. If you’re looking for more bets this season, check out the FTN Bet Tracker at FTNBets.com.
Chicago White Sox -170 @ Seattle Mariners +140 — O/U 8.5
The White Sox can complete the three-game sweep in Seattle with a win against the Mariners. They’ve outscored them 16-4 in the series so far and they’re in a great spot to rack up a few more runs. Justin Dunn is scheduled to make his first start of the season for Seattle, and although he only has 52.1 innings on his MLB resume, it’s been a rough start for the right-handed pitcher.
Dunn only has a 7.39 K/9 for his career to go along with a 6.88 BB/9. He checks in with a 4.13 ERA but a 6.47 xFIP, which shows he’s actually been a bit lucky despite almost having more walks than strikeouts. Dunn has a 47.2% fly-ball rate, 43.4% hard-hit rate, and an 80% contact rate, which are all red flags for a pitcher. Chicago enters today with the highest team implied total on the board and their eight home runs are tied for the sixth-most in baseball. They also rank inside the top 10 in wOBA.
Dallas Keuchel gets the ball for the White Sox, and even though he has a mediocre 7.11 K/9 for his career, this is a good spot for him to improve on that number. The Mariners’ 31.4 K% is the fourth highest and their 13.7 SwStr% ranks sixth so far. Keuchel has a rock-solid 58.6% ground ball rate and 3.60 ERA for his career. He should get plenty of run support, so consider Chicago on the run line (1.5) at -105 at Tipico.
Prediction: 7-1, Chicago
Best bet: CWS -1.5 (-105)
Others to consider: SF @ SD U 7.5; STL -125; LAD -1.5 -110
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